UN says current climate policies put world on track for 2.8C of warming
publishers 49articles 62first reported 7 Oct, 01:19 UTCdeveloping since 7 Oct · 23 editions
Global climate commitments remain far short of the cuts needed to meet the Paris agreement’s temperature goals, with current policies putting the world on course for 2.8C of warming above preindustrial levels by 2100, the United Nations Environment Programme said Wednesday.
Even if countries fully implement their latest emissions pledges, warming is projected to reach 2.6C, according to UNEP’s annual Emissions Gap Report. The agency said avoiding an overshoot of the Paris accord’s 1.5C target is no longer possible after decades of insufficient action. The world has already warmed by about 1.4C.
UNEP said global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 were broadly unchanged from record 2024 levels, while emissions from burning coal, oil and gas rose slightly. The agency cautioned that the apparent stabilization was not enough to establish that emissions had peaked.
Cutting greenhouse gas emissions by 18% by 2030 and 45% by 2045 would provide a good chance of limiting warming to 1.7C, UNEP said, reducing the scale and duration of the 1.5C overshoot.
The report identified the United States as a major exception to slowing emissions growth among Group of 20 economies. Preliminary 2025 data showed emissions rising in the United States, China and Indonesia, while falling in India, Russia and the European Union. The outlook worsened from last year partly because of the U.S. withdrawal from the Paris agreement and revisions to historical emissions estimates, report co-author Anne Olhoff said.
HOW THIS STORY WAS MADE
Written from 8 articles, 4 with the publisher's own text; 8 independent newsrooms once syndicated copies count as one; this version written 348 h after the record first saw the story; the editor kept it as written.
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- Source articles
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- Given to the writer
- 8, 4 with the article's own text
- Independent newsrooms
- 8
- This version written
- 348 h after the record first saw the story
- Second model (editor)
- kept as written
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