EDITION OF THU 29 OCT 2026
114 · U.S.

Democrats Lead Congressional Polling as Costs Dominate US Midterm Campaign

publishers 55articles 78first reported 6 Oct, 23:31 UTCdeveloping since 7 Oct · 25 editions

Democrats hold a polling advantage days before the November 3 US midterm elections, while President Donald Trump’s approval rating remains near the lowest point of his second term.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll completed October 26 put Trump’s approval among US adults at 32%, one percentage point above the previous week’s record low. Registered voters preferred Democrats to Republicans for Congress by 47% to 36%, with 11% undecided. After undecided voters’ leanings were counted, Democrats led 50% to 41%; among likely voters, the margin was 53% to 44%.

The online survey included 1,679 adults, including 1,280 registered voters. Its margin of error was about two percentage points for all adults and three points for registered voters. Democratic respondents also reported greater enthusiasm about voting, at 46%, compared with 30% among Republicans.

Republicans currently control both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Voters will determine whether the party retains those majorities for the final two years of Trump’s term.

Economic pressure is a central concern. The Reuters/Ipsos poll found 73% of voters believed the cost of living was moving in the wrong direction. CNA reported that affordability, healthcare and US involvement in overseas conflicts were shaping voter sentiment in Pennsylvania, where higher fuel costs have added to household and business expenses. Inflation and gasoline prices have risen amid the war in Iran, disruptions to energy supplies and tariffs.

HOW THIS STORY WAS MADE

Written from 8 articles, 5 with the publisher's own text; 7 independent newsrooms once syndicated copies count as one; this version written 528 h after the record first saw the story; the editor kept it as written.

Publishers
55
Source articles
78
Given to the writer
8, 5 with the article's own text
Independent newsrooms
7
This version written
528 h after the record first saw the story
Second model (editor)
kept as written
Publication gate
passed
Human review
none

WHAT THE EDITOR DID

The second model checked the writer's draft against the same sources and published it as written.

Written by a language model from the sources above, then checked by a second model that may only cut, attribute or correct. How it works →

NAMED IN THE COVERAGE

OUTLETS CARRYING THE STORY, RUN BY RUN

0 29 58 8 Oct 9 Oct 10 Oct 11 Oct 12 Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15 Oct 16 Oct 17 Oct 18 Oct 19 Oct 20 Oct 21 Oct 22 Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25 Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Oct 25 Oct 06:18 UTC · Democratic prospects rise as legal fight erupts over Alaska Senate race 25 Oct 12:14 UTC · Democrats gain ground as Republicans defend key Senate seats ahead of midterms 26 Oct 06:17 UTC · Democrats Favored in House as Senate Fight Remains Uncertain Ahead of Midterms 26 Oct 12:20 UTC · Democrats seek control of Congress as 2026 midterms approach 29 Oct 12:19 UTC · Democrats Lead Congressional Polling as Costs Dominate US Midterm Campaign 30 Oct 00:20 UTC · Democrats seek control of Congress as US midterm voting approaches

WHAT HELD, WHAT CAME LATER

From the first reports to the latest

  • Donald Trump · 15 outlets
  • Joe Biden · 5 outlets
  • James Talarico · 5 outlets
  • Ken Paxton · 5 outlets
  • But Trump · 4 outlets
  • Mike Rogers · 4 outlets
  • Elon Musk · 4 outlets
  • Ilhan Omar · 3 outlets

Entered the story later

  • Customs Enforcement · from 15 Oct 21:02, 4 outlets
  • In Alaska · from 16 Oct 21:22, 3 outlets
  • Mary Peltola · from 16 Oct 21:22, 3 outlets
  • Dan Sullivan · from 16 Oct 21:22, 3 outlets
  • Sheldon Whitehouse · from 16 Oct 21:22, 3 outlets
  • $2,000 household · from 16 Oct 21:22, 2 outlets
  • 100% renewable energy · from 16 Oct 21:22, 2 outlets
  • 54% voters · from 16 Oct 21:22, 2 outlets

Figures reported with different numbers

  • said they: 19% (2 from 16 Oct 21:22) → 23% (1 from 23 Oct 16:48) → 11% (1 from 28 Oct 16:57) → 44% (1 from 28 Oct 16:57) → 21% (1 from 28 Oct 16:57)
  • voters saying: 63% (2 from 16 Oct 21:22) → 36% (2 from 30 Oct 10:00)
  • cent chance: 90 (1 from 26 Oct 04:48) → 63 (1 from 26 Oct 04:48) → 92.9 (1 from 29 Oct 22:00) → 73.9 (1 from 29 Oct 22:00)
  • seats up: 435 (2 from 13 Oct 05:02) → 35 (1 from 30 Oct 07:54)
  • registered voters: 1,000 (1 from 27 Oct 22:40) → 1,280 (1 from 28 Oct 16:57) → 10 (1 from 30 Oct 07:54)

Matched by pattern, not read: a different number can be a correction, a rising count, or two different counts.

HOW THIS STORY DEVELOPED: EVERY HEADLINE, EVERY OUTLET →