LATEST VERSION
DEVELOPING · 4 OCT → 30 OCT 2026 · 27 EDITIONS · 107 OUTLETS

Lula wins fourth term as Flávio Bolsonaro challenges Brazil election result

How this story moved: how many newsrooms carried it at each run, when each one picked it up, how our summary's headline changed, and which figures and names held from the first reports to the latest. Everything here is counted from the coverage; none of it is a judgement of anyone's motives.

OUTLETS CARRYING THE STORY, RUN BY RUN

0 53 107 5 Oct 6 Oct 7 Oct 8 Oct 9 Oct 10 Oct 11 Oct 12 Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15 Oct 16 Oct 17 Oct 18 Oct 19 Oct 20 Oct 21 Oct 22 Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25 Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 5 Oct 12:39 UTC · Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula advance to Brazil presidential runoff 6 Oct 18:23 UTC · Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula Head to Runoff After Tight Brazil Vote 25 Oct 12:18 UTC · Brazil votes in tight presidential runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro 25 Oct 18:16 UTC · Brazil votes in tight presidential runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro 26 Oct 00:13 UTC · Brazil votes in tight presidential runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro 26 Oct 06:09 UTC · Lula Wins Fourth Term as Flávio Bolsonaro Seeks to Annul Brazil Vote 26 Oct 12:11 UTC · Lula wins fourth term in Brazil as Flávio Bolsonaro challenges result 26 Oct 18:12 UTC · Lula wins fourth term as Flávio Bolsonaro seeks annulment of Brazil vote 27 Oct 00:11 UTC · Brazilians vote for next president as Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro hope for first round victory 27 Oct 18:13 UTC · Lula wins fourth term as Flávio Bolsonaro challenges Brazil election result

HOW OUR HEADLINE CHANGED · 8 HEADLINES

  1. 5 Oct, 12:39 UTC

    Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula advance to Brazil presidential runoff

  2. 6 Oct, 18:23 UTC

    Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula Head to Runoff After Tight Brazil Vote

  3. 25 Oct, 12:18 UTC

    Brazil votes in tight presidential runoff between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro

  4. 26 Oct, 06:09 UTC

    Lula Wins Fourth Term as Flávio Bolsonaro Seeks to Annul Brazil Vote

  5. 26 Oct, 12:11 UTC

    Lula wins fourth term in Brazil as Flávio Bolsonaro challenges result

  6. 26 Oct, 18:12 UTC

    Lula wins fourth term as Flávio Bolsonaro seeks annulment of Brazil vote

  7. 27 Oct, 00:11 UTC

    Brazilians vote for next president as Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro hope for first round victory

  8. 27 Oct, 18:13 UTC

    Lula wins fourth term as Flávio Bolsonaro challenges Brazil election result

WHAT HELD, WHAT CAME LATER

From the first reports to the latest

  • Jair Bolsonaro · 12 outlets
  • Flavio Bolsonaro · 11 outlets
  • Latin America · 9 outlets
  • Donald Trump · 8 outlets
  • Paulista Avenue · 3 outlets
  • Javier Milei · 3 outlets
  • Rio Grande · 2 outlets

Entered the story later

  • Sao Paulo · from 26 Oct 00:30, 3 outlets
  • Bolsa Familia · from 20 Oct 16:00, 2 outlets
  • 2.2 million votes · from 25 Oct 11:16, 2 outlets

Figures reported with different numbers

  • valid votes: 47.04% (1 from 5 Oct 01:54) → 92.2% (1 from 5 Oct 01:54) → 52.8% (1 from 10 Oct 07:25) → 52% (1 from 10 Oct 07:25) → 52.7% (1 from 11 Oct 17:23) → 53.1% (1 from 11 Oct 17:23) → 51.8% (1 from 13 Oct 16:58) → 47.8% (1 from 14 Oct 06:15) → 52.2% (1 from 14 Oct 06:15) → 47.03% (1 from 14 Oct 06:15) → 55% (1 from 14 Oct 06:15) → 49% (1 from 16 Oct 19:28) → 80.1% (1 from 25 Oct 13:13) → 19.92% (1 from 25 Oct 13:13) → 80.5% (1 from 25 Oct 13:13) → 51.78% (1 from 26 Oct 07:21)
  • chance winning: 88.4% (1 from 10 Oct 07:25) → 86.4% (1 from 13 Oct 17:17) → 86.1% (1 from 14 Oct 06:12) → 76.8% (1 from 16 Oct 19:28) → 76.3% (1 from 16 Oct 20:13) → 76.6% (1 from 16 Oct 21:55) → 77.6% (1 from 16 Oct 23:30) → 77.2% (1 from 17 Oct 04:21) → 77.0% (1 from 17 Oct 21:01)
  • total bets: 179.6 million (1 from 10 Oct 07:25) → 184.8 million (1 from 16 Oct 19:28) → 184.9 million (1 from 16 Oct 23:30) → 185 million (1 from 17 Oct 04:21) → 185.4 million (1 from 17 Oct 21:01)
  • said they: 3.2% (1 from 10 Oct 07:25) → 5% (1 from 11 Oct 17:23) → 30.9% (1 from 13 Oct 16:58)
  • percentage points: 2.6 (1 from 11 Oct 17:23) → 2.2 (1 from 13 Oct 16:58) → 3.44 (1 from 26 Oct 00:23)
  • cent votes: 10 (1 from 25 Oct 13:51) → 99.99 (1 from 26 Oct 00:30) → 99 (1 from 26 Oct 01:42)

Matched by pattern, not read: a different number can be a correction, a rising count, or two different counts.